Showing posts with label planning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label planning. Show all posts

Excel Data Analysis: Modeling and Simulation Review

Excel Data Analysis: Modeling and Simulation
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I was a graduate student of Professor Guerrero at The College of William and Mary and have to recommend this book. For those unfortunates who did not have him as an instructor, this is a book that gives you the experience of spending time with him in the classroom. The practical application of Excel as a modeling and simulation tool is delivered in a conversational style that engages the reader and occasionally generates a chuckle. Yes, a chuckle in a text that includes the words Excel, Modeling and Simulation in the title. However, inbetween the chuckles is solid theory and application. It's a clever text.
I would recommend this book if only for the discussion of the feng shui of worksheet development - as users, we sometimes don't think through the design of the excel workbook. We build and link, build and link, build and link...
So, Senior Brain, I put my workbook in your hands...

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This book is written for the students and practitioners who are looking for a single introductory Excel-based resource that covers three essential business and analytical skills-Data Analysis, Business Modeling, and Simulation of Complex Problems. The focus of the book is clearly on analysis of problems for decision making, yet detailed explanations regarding how to use Excel tools are provided. After many years of teaching and consulting, it is abundantly clear to me that for most students, a good example is worth its weight in gold. This book contains many excellent examples in each chapter, some simple and others more complex, and there is an abundance of exhibits to guide the student through the maze of steps necessary for each analysis.The content is quite diverse: data presentation - the Feng Shui of spreadsheets, effective communication and collaboration, data preparation - import, scrub, manipulate data, data analysis - statistical methods: descriptive, inferential, and predictive, Design of Experiments, modeling - deterministic, probabilistic, What-if, Scenarios, simulation - quantifying uncertainty, Monte Carlo Simulation, optimization - constrained, Linear Programming, non-linear models, Goal Seek.Couple these features with detailed discussions of how to realistically organize and extract insight from complex problems, and I believe you have a unique educational combination in one book.

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How to Prepare a Business Plan (Sunday Times Business Enterprise Series) Review

How to Prepare a Business Plan (Sunday Times Business Enterprise Series)
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Planning is invaluable; no one has ever maximized their business success by just winging it. "How to Prepare a Business Plan" is a scholarly handbook, taking a look at how to create the best business plan possible for one's company. Focusing on managing income and expenses, expanding, taking out loans, and meticulously watching for early warning signs of failure, "How to Prepare a Business Plan" is an excellent choice for entrepreneurs and a top pick for community library business collections.

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* Fully revised and updated * Practical guidance given on all aspects of business plans * Includes case studies and examples "Ideal for entrepreneurs and decision-makers in Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). Highly recommended." -- George Cox, Director General, Institute of Directors "Still the best book available on the subject." -- The Bookseller's Review of Business Books A business plan provides a blueprint for the future of business start-ups. It sets out a company's aims and how it proposes to achieve them. Without such a plan no venture capital house or bank will consider a loan for start-up or expansion. This fully revised new edition describes the best way to prepare a business plan that will help get the financial backing needed. It includes practical case studies and cash flow forecasts, as well as advice on expanding a business, planning the borrowing and monitoring business progress.

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How to Write a Business Plan: Create Your Strategy; Forecast Your Finances; Produce a Persuasive Plan (Sunday Times Creating Success) Review

How to Write a Business Plan: Create Your Strategy; Forecast Your Finances; Produce a Persuasive Plan (Sunday Times Creating Success)
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According to Antarctic explorer Roald Amundsen, "Adventure is just bad planning." Adventure is certainly not a priority in business. To avoid it, all firms need a well-conceived, properly organized and expertly written business plan. A good business plan can help your business accomplish vital objectives, such as securing the financial backing you need to take your company to the next level or getting top dollar if you decide to sell the firm. Brian Finch, a seasoned business professional, has assembled a basic, practical - though list-heavy - book on how to write a concrete business plan to achieve maximum impact. Although he rightly remarks that "there is bound to be some repetition in your business plan, just as there is in this book," getAbstract finds that rookie entrepreneurs will benefit from his savvy advice.

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Starting with the premise that there's only one chance to make a good impression, How to Write a Business Plan covers all the issues involved in producing a business plan – from profiling competitors and forecasting market development, to the importance of providing clear and concise financial information. It also includes a full glossary, case histories and a detailed section on the related issue of how a company can best use internal business plans.

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Heads Up: How to Anticipate Business Surprises and Seize Opportunities First Review

Heads Up: How to Anticipate Business Surprises and Seize Opportunities First
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Business "surprises" occur with an alarming frequency. It is an understatement to say they exact a considerable toll on the organization.
According to Kenneth G. McGee, even the worst catastrophes rarely happen without warning. The author is a group vice president and research fellow at Gartner, Inc., a consultancy that specializes in information technology. His book, Heads Up, is about predicting the present.
Managers need to understand what is happening now and how these current events will impact future success. This involves extracting raw empirical information, analyzing it and determining its meaning and implications.
So what is new, you ask? McGee answers managers do not need all the data to understand the present. Only enough to answer the question, "Where are we right now in meeting our corporate goals?"
To an effective executive, this current information always reveals opportunities to improve results. There is a tendency to confuse real-time information with real-time response. In the perfect situation, the following processes happen in the background between the time when an event happens and that event's impact is felt.
1.Information related to the event is monitored.
2.A change in the information is captured.
3.The information is analyzed.
4.The information is reported.
5.A response is initiated.
No manager can afford to monitor all his information sources. To determine which sources to monitor, information should be filtered using the following Identification Model:
1.List goals for the planning period.
2.Prioritize them.
3.Evaluate them.
4.List causal events.
5.Prioritize the causal events.
6.Evaluate whether the real-time information will enable the executive to respond effectively.
Each candidate generated by the Identification Model is subjected to the Justification Model:
1.Does the goal the information further the corporate vision and mission?
2.Does the goal meet current corporate priorities?
3.Is the information material to the goal?
4.What is the goal's corporate impact?
McGee's book goes beyond the usual real-time hype. It will help executives anticipate events and changes. The result: potential disasters will be transformed into opportunities.

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This book offers a new set of metrics for identifying, analyzing, and responding to the right information at the right time - helping companies to avoid disasters and seize opportunities. Based on exclusive research into recent business catastrophes - and drawing parallels to a range of nonbusiness disasters from 9/11 to the Challenger disaster - "Heads Up" outlines a four-step approach managers can use to identify which pieces of information merit real-time delivery, and as importantly, which do not. McGee then provides a practical methodology - real time opportunity detection - for monitoring, analyzing, and responding to that critical information in time to ward off negative surprises and jump on potential opportunities ahead of competitors.

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The Strategy-Focused Organization: How Balanced Scorecard Companies Thrive in the New Business Environment Review

The Strategy-Focused Organization: How Balanced Scorecard Companies Thrive in the New Business Environment
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The Strategy-Focused Organization
Building on their Balanced Scorecard approach, Kaplan and Norton have developed an impressive framework in The Strategy-Focused Organization for the implementation of strategy. They have found that 90% of strategic initiatives fail due not to formulation but to implementation difficulties. Successful implementation of strategy requires all parts of an organizations to be aligned and linked to the strategy, while strategy itself must become a continual process in which everyone is involved. The Balanced Scorecard, originally seen by the authors as a measurement tool, is now presented as a means for implementing strategy by creating alignment and focus.
Financial measures report on lagging financial indicators. The Balanced Scorecard aims to report on the drivers of future value creation. The book shows in detail how this is done from four perspectives: Financial, customer, internal business perspective, and learning and growth (these are outlined on p.77). These four perspectives produce a highly detailed framework when combined with the five principles of a strategy-focused organization: 1: Translate the strategy to operational terms. 2: Align the organization to the strategy. 3: Make strategy everyone's everyday job. 4: Make strategy a continual process. 5: Mobilize change through executive leadership.
Absorbing every detail of this book will require many hours. The sheer detail of this complex system requires considerable attention, perhaps more than some readers can muster, but clearly distinguishes this work from many books full of business fluff. The style tends to be turgid and pedantic while being admirably complete. Readers can grasp the essence of the book's central points by reading only Chapter 1 (Creating the Strategy-Focused Organization), Chapter 3 (Building Strategy Maps), and Chapter 8 (Creating Strategic Awareness). Skip quickly through the chapters in Part Two: Aligning the Organization to Create Synergies. This section is the least engaging of the five. The balanced scorecard approach to strategy will appeal to those with a systematizing frame of mind. The book is filled with complex diagrams of corporate processes consisting of interrelated boxes and forces.
This approach is extremely detailed and complex. It requires a major commitment and effort. Though the authors claim it can be implemented by smaller organizations, this will be more challenging than for large companies who can commit a team full time to working out the details.
Much of the value of the approach may lie not so much in following through on completely working out the balanced scorecard but on absorbing the lessons regarding organizational integration across silos and the importance of clarity about mission, strategy, and goals. The balanced scorecard is one way to achieve and implement this clarity but not the only way. Another would be continual reiteration of these (as in Confessions of An Extraordinary Executive). Some companies may benefit from strict use of this system, including finding units of measurement for its implementation. Others will gain much from applying the insights without such a formal and complete implementation.

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Profit from the Core: A Return to Growth in Turbulent Times Review

Profit from the Core: A Return to Growth in Turbulent Times
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In this Updated Edition of Profit from the Core published by Harvard Business Press (2010) and written with James Allen, Chris Zook provides updated key examples while adding new ones and renders "the lessons learned in a way that management teams can use can use as a tool to reflect on the way forward in today's economy."
Given what Zook characterizes as "the current structural crisis in business," referring to developments during the "turbulent times" since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, here are the key points he lists in the Preface:
* Sustained and profitable growth requires a strong, well-defined core.
* Most sustained profitable growth companies have leadership positions in their cores that form the epicenters of their strategies.
* The number-one rule of strategy is to discourage your customers from investing in your core.
* The greatest source of strategic error, he and associates [at Bain] find, stems from an inaccurate understanding of the core and its full potential.
* Strong cores often contain hidden assets that prove to be the seeds of the next wave of growth - the topic of his previous book, Unstoppable.
* The key to sustained and profitable growth is to find a repeatable formula that utilizes the most powerful and differentiated strengths in your core and applies them to a series of new "adjacent" markets.
Zook's concept of "core" bears striking resemblance to Jim Collins' concept of the "Three Circles"," introduced in Good to Great: (a) What a company can be the best in the world at (and equally important, what it cannot be the best in the world at), (2) What drives the company's economic engine, and (3) What those in the company care most passionately about. For Zook, a core business "as that set of products, capabilities, customers, channels, and geographies that defines the essence of what the company is or aspires to be to achieve its growth mission - that is, to grow its revenue sustainably and profitably...The essence of a company's growth strategy is to define the core business as we have defined it and to pour company resources into this core business until it achieves its full potential."
Of special interest to me is what Zook has to say about five paradoxes that most management teams encounter when seeking to revitalize the growth of their company. They usually focus on the underperforming units. Zook and Allen argue that "growth requires instead on increasing the performance of the best businesses, no matter how well they are doing at present. Why? Paradox #1: The better performing of business units are likely to be those operating the furthest below their full potential. When discussing adjacency expansion, they introduce Paradox #2: "The stronger your core business, the more opportunities you have both to move into profitable adjacencies and to lose focus." When addressing when and how to redefine a core business, they introduce Paradox #3: "The management teams that have been most successful in building a strong core business and that have benefited from adjacency expansion are also the most vulnerable to industry turbulence." In Chapter 5, they provide some guidelines for the process of developing and refining growth strategy, then introduce Paradox #4: "All organizations inhibit growth...Overlying all the analysis in this book is a final paradox: From focus comes growth; by narrowing growth one creates expansion."
In order to continue creating value, it is eventually necessary for any company to invest in adjacencies. There are three basic types: a direct move into an immediate opportunity (e.g. Enterprise Rent-a-Car); an "option" purchased in a business related to the core, functioning as a hedge against future uncertainties (e.g. Intel and Microsoft); and a series of sequential moves that expand the boundaries and capabilities of the core business (e.g. Cisco's acquisition of Pure Digital Technologies). Whichever approach is selected, there are certain "pitfalls" that must be avoided. They are identified in Chapter 5 and there are seven of them: expanding toward an entrenched position, overestimating the profit pool, false bundling (of products, services, or both), invaders from unexpected directions, failing to consider all adjacencies, missing a new segment, and single-mindedly (stubbornly?) pursuing high-end adjacencies. They are thoroughly discussed on Pages 97-105.
In the final chapter, Zook poses ten questions that he and Allen believe management teams should periodically ask themselves about their companies and at the start if every review of their basic growth strategy. Here are the first three:
1. What is the most rightly defined profitable core of our business, and is it gaining or losing strength?
2. What defines the boundaries of the business that we are competing for, and where are those boundaries going to shift in the future?
3. Are there new competitors currently at the fringe of our business that pose potential longer-term threats to the core?
Long ago during one of his first meetings with the Green Bay Packers, Coach Vince Lombardi stood next to a blackboard, held up a piece of chalk, and claimed, "I can beat any offense or defense with this." The same is true of asking questions such as those that Zook and Allen pose when concluding the final chapter. In football it is far more difficult to execute the right strategies than it is to present them on a blackboard but you need to do both. In business it is far more difficult to formulate the right answers than it is to ask the right question but, again, you must do both.
In this Update Edition of a book first published in 2001, Chris Zook with James Allen provide a wealth of information and counsel that a management team needs in its quest for sustainable and profitable growth. I agree with them that turbulent conditions create "confusion, blurred boundaries, less time to react, less tolerance for error, and often fewer resources" but they also create "unique opportunities to strengthen and expand string cores, and even to invest to reshape the structure of [its] industry ahead of competitors." For those in need of an operations manual, compass, and mine detector, here it is.

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When Profit from the Core was published in 2001, it became an international bestseller, helping hundreds of companies find their way back to profitable growth after the bursting of the Internet bubble. The 2007 global financial meltdown reaffirmed the perils of pursuing heady growth through untested strategies, as firms in industries from finance to retailing to automobiles strayed too far from their core businesses and suffered the consequences.In this updated edition of Profit from the Core, authors Chris Zook and James Allen showthat a renewed focus on the core is more critical than ever as firms seek to rebuild their competitive advantage coming out of the downturn-and that a strong core will be the foundation for successful expansion as the economy recovers. Based on more than ten years of Bain & Company research and analysis and fresh examples from firms responding to the current downturn, the book outlines what today's executives and managers need to do now to revitalize their core, identify the next wave of profitable growth, and build on it successfully.Zook and Allen explain how companies can:•Develop a strong, well-defined core and use it to establish a leadership position•Follow the golden rule of strategy: discourage competitors from investing in your core•Assess whether your core is operating at its full potential•Uncover hidden assets in your core that provide the seeds for new growth•Find a repeatable formula to apply core business strengths in adjacent marketsBuilding on powerful and proven ideas to meet today's formidable business challenges, Profit from the Core is the back-to-basics strategy field guide no manager should be without.

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